The joint fisheries statement says: The UK advocates a science and evidence-based approach to managing stocks and will continue to do so as it looks to agree comprehensive sharing arrangements. This will include, for example, promoting the sustainable use and protection of stocks, and facilitating international cooperation to tackle climate change.
The Seafish wild capture adaptation reporting power (ARP) considers climate change risks to UK wild capture fisheries, and the potential range and scale of responses required. It considers both the domestic and international dimensions of wild capture fisheries relevant to the UK. The international dimensions of the assessment includes case study examples for Bluefin tuna, Northeast Atlantic mackerel, and Squid fisheries.
Recovering and returning bluefin tuna: Bluefin tuna in the North East Atlantic have a wide distribution and are highly migratory. Warming temperatures and changes in food availability (e.g. Mackerel) are likely to be contributing to the re-emergence of Blue fin tuna in more Northern waters. In UK waters, Bluefin tuna largely disappeared in the 1970s and before EU-exit, the UK had not been allocated a share of the total EU bluefin tuna quota. For 2023, the UK was allocated 65 tonnes of bluefin tuna quota by ICCAT, of which 39 tonnes were used to trial a new small-scale commercial fishery. Habitat suitability for bluefin tuna is expected to increase in the future in UK waters. There will be a need for catching nations to agree on future quota allocations (‘zonal attachment’) as tuna, and other commercially important species, continue to move across jurisdictions.
Northeast Atlantic mackerel: The range of Northeast Atlantic mackerel extends across several EEZs and into international waters, presenting management challenges for how catch limits are set and monitored. The UK fleet catches more mackerel than any other species, comprising a third of the total UK catch in 2022. Climate change, either directly or through zooplankton prey availability, may be affecting mackerel growth, recruitment, and migration, with subsequent impacts on permissible levels of exploitation. Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) of mackerel in the Northeast Atlantic is projected to increase under future climate scenarios as habitat 'suitability’ improves over time. Catching nations will need to consider implications for quota allocation and zonal attachment, sustainable management (e.g. for MSC certification) and in the UK, the potential to increase landings for one of the most important fisheries (in value and tonnage).
Squid: Squid are currently considered ‘non-quota’ species and their distribution has expanded dramatically across the North Sea since the 1980s. This has been partly linked to climate, as increased sea surface temperatures are known to affect growth, position of spawning grounds and migration, with subsequent impacts on permissible levels of exploitation. They now provide a valuable seasonal (summer) fishery for boats around Rockall as well as in Orkney, the Moray Firth and the Scottish east coast. Habitat suitability for squid in UK waters is expected to increase in the future, and their management is being considered in FMP development, including the Channel Demersal Non-Quota Species (NQS) and the Southern North Sea demersal non-quota species (NQS) FMPs. Future management approaches will need to consider how to avoid stock over-exploitation for rapidly expanding fisheries for non-quota species such as squid.
Further actions that could support the international dimensions of UK wild capture fisheries (e.g. migratory fish stocks):
- International science co-operation, e.g. through EU horizon projects
- Science diplomacy, including early resolution on ‘rights to fish’ in international fisheries management regimes
- Fisheries – science partnerships to improve dialogue and use industry data to inform decision making (or closer science-industry links to understand climate driven regional changes)
- Ensure international quota swaps / transfers
- Engage with overseas stakeholders to support climate change adaptation
- Ensure capacity for enhanced productivity (and quota) of whitefish fisheries at higher latitudes
- Establish key ‘climate’ indicators, assessment frequency, and response thresholds
- Review fisheries management to make it more flexible, including ‘relative stability'
Related MCCIP activities can also help support the international dimensions of UK wild capture fisheries:
- MCCIP is collating climate change projections of UK marine ecosystem impacts, and publishing new model outputs and a roadmap, to improve the evidence base underpinning marine and fisheries management, including movement of stocks across international jurisdictions.
- MCCIP Rolling evidence reviews, providing up-to-date, and authoritative, reviews of the UK climate change impacts evidence base for fish, and fisheries that help underpin Seafish ARP reports and annual Seafish ‘watching briefs’